El Niño phase transition by deforestation in the Maritime Continent
ID:1185 Oral (invited)

2025-01-14 13:30 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 65-Oceanic-Atmospheric Processes Over the Indian and Western Pacific Oceans

Abstract
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), an irregular alternation between warm El Niño and cold La Niña phases, is the most prominent air-sea interaction phenomenon on Earth and greatly affects global weather and climate. Nevertheless, it remains unclear whether human activity can alter the characteristics of ENSO. We demonstrate, using reanalysis data and coupled general circulation models, that deforestation over the Maritime Continent (MC) favors a rapid transition of El Niño to La Niña. Deforestation over the MC can induce a regional enhancement in precipitation, which in turn leads to strengthening of the easterly trade winds over the western equatorial Pacific owing to the Gill-response. These stronger trade winds, by inducing a shoaled thermocline in the eastern Pacific, are favorable for the development of cold sea surface temperature anomalies in the eastern equatorial Pacific during El Niño decaying years. Our results suggest that El Niño is more likely to be followed by La Niña if MC deforestation continues in the future.
Keywords
Maritime Continent,deforestation,El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Speaker
Xin Wang
研究员, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Author
Xin Wang South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Shengbiao Wei South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Chunzai Wang South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Qiang Xie Institute of Deep-sea Science and Engineering, Chinese Academy of Sciences